- Bitcoin long and short positions see parity after BTC price volatility hits an all-time low.
- Experts believe institutional traders could hunt liquidity at the $16,500 level, based on the liquidation levels heatmap.
- BTC could gather liquidity between the $16,200 and $16,500 level before a run up to the $18,000 target.
Bitcoin price missed out on the Santa rally as the asset’s volatility hit a historical low. The events of the past week offered no push to BTC volatility, in the absence of a macroeconomic trigger for the asset’s price trend.
Bitcoin price volatility hits all-time low, BTC misses the Santa rally
Bitcoin volatility hit an all-time low on Christmas. Periods of low volatility precede periods of explosive price moves in Bitcoin. Will Clemente, a Bitcoin analyst, shared a chart of the Bitcoin Volatility Index, highlighting BTC’s new all-time low volatility.
Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index
Experts on crypto Twitter have spotted similarities between Christmas 2018 and the 2022 cycle. Christmas 2018 marks the last bear market phase of Bitcoin during its previous halving cycle. Analysts are convinced that the length of time between BTC’s prior all-time high and Christmas lows is broadly similar.
Bagsy, analyst on crypto Twitter, believes that the largest asset by market capitalization could fail to bounce above the $25,000 level. The asset’s recovery would largely rely on the halving year, 2024.
After BTC missed its Santa rally, the cryptocurrency is preparing for its next market trough. Toni Ghinea, crypto analyst and trader predicted a bull trap between $17,500 and $19,000 in December 2022 before a final crash to the $11,000- $14,000 level in Q1 2023.
Could BTC collect liquidity before run up to the $18,000 level?
Based on data from Bitcoin liquidity charts, technical analyst CrypNuevo believes there is a high possibility that the $17,100 and $17,500 level could get tagged before the end of 2023.
Liquidation Levels Heatmap
According to the Liquidation Levels Heatmap, there is $50 billion worth of liquidation between the $13,500 and $14,000 level. If BTC price drops to this level, cascading liquidations could increase the pressure on the asset. Analysts believe that Institutional traders will slowly increase activity in the next few days and markets will gain some volatility.
Analysts argue that liquidity levels are key to retail investor activity. In a downtrend, CrypNeuvo argues that traders can’t dismiss the possibility of a short-term long set up in a downtrend. The expert believes scooping up BTC between $16,200 and $16,500 is the ideal trade setup before the asset targets the $18,000 level.