The US Dollar Index (DXY) stays above 103.50. Economists at ING analyze Greenback’s outlook.
Dollar to hold gains against European currencies over the coming days
We expect the Dollar to hold gains against European currencies over the coming days.
In terms of today’s US calendar, we have the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index for January and the JOLTS job opening data for December. On the former, a strong number is expected given the jobs market is holding up. On the latter, only a modest drop is expected in job openings, to 8750K from 8790K. Any faster-than-expected drop in the JOLTS could soften the Dollar given some Fed officials seem to like JOLTS as the best gauge of slack in the US labour market.
Given soft activity data in Europe – and ongoing pessimism in China – DXY can probably trade a 103.15-103.80 range heading into Wednesday’s FOMC meeting.