ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that with key Eurozone data behind and European Central Bank (ECB) communication subdued, EUR/USD is now driven mainly by the United States (US) side. A softer US Consumer Price Index (CPI) could trigger a break above … [Continue reading]
Canadian Dollar: Recovery against US Dollar faces tariff risks – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister at Commerzbank highlights a strong Canadian labour market and improving Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) and exports as signs of real-economy recovery, but warns this is fragile due to threatened US … [Continue reading]
Gold remains on the back foot below June 17 high amid USD uptick; downside seems cushioned
Gold (XAU/USD) drifts lower at the start of a new week and moves away from its highest level since June 17, touched on Friday following the disappointing release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. In fact, the crucial US monthly employment data … [Continue reading]
CFTC Report: FX repositioning dominates as commodities diverge
The week in one sentence: a historic Yen short unwind led to a broader recovery in FX positioning, while Gold strengthened with price confirmation, and renewed selling in WTI and Coffee reinforced commodity weakness.Yen unwind resets the mapThe … [Continue reading]
China: Credit demand and liquidity trends – DBS
DBS Group Research anticipates China’s credit demand to stay weak in July, with new Yuan loans around RMB 10.8 billion and M2 growth at 8% year-on-year. Corporate and household medium- to long-term lending are likely to soften amid cautious borrowing … [Continue reading]
Chinese Yuan: Range trade holds with bullish tone against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see USD/CNH confined to a narrow intraday range, with flat momentum suggesting consolidation between 6.7450 and 6.7550. Their 1–3 week view still anticipates the Dollar edging lower … [Continue reading]
Singapore: GDP revision and forecast upgrade – DBS
DBS Group Research expects Singapore’s final 2Q26 GDP to be revised up to 5.9% year-on-year and 1.3% quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted, driven by stronger manufacturing and services. With first-half growth above trend, the team sees a high … [Continue reading]
Hormuz deal hopes rise as talks progress – Reuters
A US official said on Friday that there is progress in Oman-Iran talks and that a deal could be signed soon, according to Reuters. Once the deal is announced, this would restore commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, and the US would lift the … [Continue reading]
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Rebound holds above 200-day SMA
The British Pound retreats against the Japanese Yen, down about 0.24%, as the Yen is poised to end the week on a higher note. However, GBP/JPY is poised to finish the week with minimal gains, trading at 212.64.GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical … [Continue reading]
Philippines: BSP policy outlook shifts – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Jonathan Koh and Edward Lee now expect Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to keep its policy rate unchanged at the 27 August meeting, abandoning a previously projected hike. The bank trims its 2026 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) … [Continue reading]